About the Handicapper

Trevor Snelgrove has been wagering legally on football (both offshore and in Las Vegas) since 1998. In 12 years, he has had 9 winning seasons. College football and NFL football have been great interests of his for many years, but the amount of information that has been available in the last five years has allowed Trevor to fine-tune his handicapping process. Advanced statistics combined with game charting and discipline have made him well-respected in his football circle. Trevor has generally been more successful on college picks versus NFL, and that is due to the size of the field (number of teams, not the gridiron itself!) This season will be his first foray into advising others what games and props he will wager on each week. Unlike some handicappers, Trevor does not have a staff of researchers or insiders working for his site. All picks are wagers that Trevor will make himself, produced by his research (game charting and statistical analysis), and philosophies. Each week of the football season he will spend 30-60 hours watching games and doing statistical analysis. The Archive page will be available for all to peruse, starting week 6, showing results of the 2009 season.

NFL Philosophies

The NFL is the most popular sports league in the United States. One of the reasons why, is the parity and hope of renewal each new season brings it’s fan base. The overall talent from the worst team to the best team is much closer than most fans realize. It is fan’s opinion that determines the line and totals to odds makers. Odds makers make money by getting as close to equal wagering on either side of the spread or total. Trying to find where the wagering majority (the public) is wrong creates wins. This is not a new concept, every successful handicapper does this, and it is mismatch analysis that separates who wins and who loses. Discipline is a heavy part of Trevor’s picks. Some weeks there may be only one or two wagers he likes. Hopefully wherever you wager has team and player props, as Trevor often makes these types of wagers for the NFL. An appropriate example of this is last year’s NFC Championship Game. After researching the spread, the totals and the money line, he felt the safest bet was Arizona over 21.5 points on their own. Even during their Thanksgiving Day slaughter at the hands of the Eagles, they scored 20. Needless to say, he was able to watch the second half with little trepidation.

College FBS Philosophies

The FBS (football bowl subdivision) is much different than NFL wagering. One, the players are kids. Two, the talent discrepancies between teams can be very high. Three, coaching compensations and systems vary greatly. Four, the schedules are unbalanced. Five, 120 different teams versus 32. As a result, sometimes the spreads and totals are much higher, and props and money lines may be non-existent. One trend often seen in Trevor’s FBS wagering is repeating on certain teams week after week. Each year, after a few weeks, he will settle on one or two teams to ride heavily. Trevor’s “horses” were Oregon in 2007 (until Dixon’s injury) and Oklahoma State in 2008. Both covered or went over their totals at an excellent rate. With many more teams to keep track of, and more geographically regionalized fan bases, wagering majorities are more inaccurate than in the NFL.

DISCLAIMER
PRIVACY POLICY